Police enter an immigration detention centre in Bangkok on Jan. 22.
Chanakarn Laosarakham/AFP through Getty Pictures
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Chanakarn Laosarakham/AFP through Getty Pictures
Jeffrey Wasserstrom is chancellor’s professor of historical past at College of California, Irvine and the creator of The Milk Tea Alliance: Inside Asia’s Struggle Against Autocracy and Beijing, a brief e book about activists in and exiles from Thailand, Hong Kong and Myanmar that will probably be printed in June by Columbia International Reviews.
Given how a lot the world has modified within the final decade, it is eerie how intently Thailand’s latest actions towards sanctuary-seeking Uyghurs have paralleled these of 2015.
Some 300 members of the largely Muslim ethnic Uyghur group went to Thailand in 2014 to flee mistreatment by Chinese language authorities of their homeland of Xinjiang, a territory within the northwestern nook of China. In July 2015, the Thai authorities sent 109 of them back to China. They did so despite the fact that Uyghurs and lots of human rights teams insisted that the Chinese language authorities would deal with them brutally. The motion drew worldwide condemnation.
Final month, in a transfer able to triggering déjà vu, there was a replay of that state of affairs. This time, Thailand deported 40 Uyghurs to China, once more garnering criticism from different nations, including the United States.
The U.S., Canada and different nations say that they had provided to take the refugees in, according to information reviews this week. However Thailand’s deputy international minister said his country “might face retaliation from China” if it despatched the Uyghurs to 3rd nations as a substitute.
There’s overwhelming proof, albeit disputed by the Chinese language authorities, that Chinese language President Xi Jinping’s authorities has been engaged in a scientific marketing campaign of persecution of Uyghurs and different ethnic minorities — deploying harsh measures that embrace the mass incarceration of residents in a big community of extralegal detention camps. The U.S. State Division has categorised China’s persecution of Uyghurs and different ethnic minorities as genocide and crimes towards humanity.
It’s placing, regardless of necessary shifts in Thailand over the previous decade, how deeply the similarities run between the conditions in 2015 and 2025.
The Thai authorities then, as now, defended their motion by saying it conformed to worldwide legislation. Additionally they insisted that they believed Beijing’s assertion that the returnees could be handled pretty.
In 2015, the Thai authorities that authorized the deportation was a newly ensconced one. The motion was extensively seen as an indication that the federal government of Thailand — an in depth ally of the U.S. through the Chilly Conflict — would proceed to maneuver nearer to China, as deporting the Uyghurs was bowing to stress from Beijing.
All of this is applicable to the state of affairs at the moment.
There are some political variations, although, within the context across the two episodes. In 2015, the federal government was run by a junta, and the individual defending the deportation of Uyghurs was a navy man who had seized energy in a coup in Could 2014.
The individual defending the deportation of Uyghurs in 2025, in contrast, is Thailand’s feminine prime minister, Paetongtarn Shinawatra. She heads a political occasion that obtained a number of votes within the last national election, in Could 2023.

Thailand’s new prime minister, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, talks to journalists after receiving a royal letter of endorsement for the submit on the Pheu Thai occasion headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, Aug. 18, 2024.
Sakchai Lalit/AP
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Sakchai Lalit/AP
Prime Minister Shinawatra isn’t, nevertheless, from the Transfer Ahead Get together, which did better of all within the 2023 election. The top of Transfer Ahead, Pita Limjaroenrat, was not allowed to turn into prime minister as chief of a reform-minded coalition as briefly appeared doable after the votes had been tallied. As a substitute, he has been banned from politics for a decade, and Transfer Ahead was forced to disband by a court decided to defend many features of the political established order.
The brand new prime minister’s Pheu Thai Get together — based by her billionaire father, former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra — got here in second within the election. She leads a coalition that, just like the junta in energy in 2015 did, enjoys royal help, and it consists of events tied to members of the previous junta. The story of home politics is certainly one of continuity in addition to shifts.
Inserting a pair of statements excerpted from Freedom Home annual reviews from the center of the 2010s and the center of the 2020s aspect by aspect can underscore this level neatly.
“Thailand’s … standing declined from Partly Free to Not Free because of the Could navy coup, whose leaders abolished the 2007 structure and imposed extreme restrictions on speech and meeting,” the Freedom in the World 2015 report stated.
“Thailand’s standing declined from Partly Free to Not Free as a result of the main opposition occasion was dissolved by the Constitutional courtroom,” in accordance with the 2025 edition.
One particular persevering with side is expounded to how the Thai authorities search to silence outspoken critics or drive them into exile. The long-standing lèse-majesté legal guidelines, which criminalizes criticism of the monarchy, continues to be used to intimidate and punish activists, making a mockery of any notion that Thailand is a land the place speech rights are protected.
But Thais have periodically pushed for higher freedoms. In a dramatic protest motion in 2020 and 2021, younger individuals led demonstrations calling for the junta chief behind the 2014 coup to step down after greater than half a decade in energy; for reform and fewer arbitrary use of the lèse-majesté legal guidelines; and for social modifications such because the legalization of same-sex marriage. Some veterans of the motion had been elected to parliament with the Transfer Ahead occasion in Could 2023, however a number of have confronted lèse-majesté prices in courtroom already or have them hanging over their heads now. One extensively admired determine from that battle, human rights lawyer Arnon Nampa, was sentenced to four years in jail on such prices in September 2023.

Thai protesters cheer throughout a pro-democracy rally on the Pathumwan Intersection on Feb. 10, 2021, in Bangkok, Thailand. Protesters descended on a shopping center in central Bangkok to stage a “make noise” marketing campaign.
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Lauren DeCicca/Getty Pictures
On the top of the 2020-2021 protest motion, the largest battle of its form within the nation this century, it appeared as if Thailand may be poised to begin a daring new chapter in its historical past. Within the rapid wake of the 2023 election, this sense was even stronger for a time.
As a substitute, headlines from the nation over the past half-year illustrate that there have been some notable strikes into novel terrain, however troubling previous limitations on freedom proceed and a few disturbing patterns from the previous recur.
On the aspect of change, earlier this yr Thailand turned the primary Southeast Asian nation to legalize same-sex marriage. On the aspect of continuity, late final yr, news came that Arnon Nampa had been convicted, whereas already incarcerated, of added lèse-majesté prices, in order that his complete mixed sentences come to a staggering complete of shut to twenty years.
On the aspect of disturbing patterns from the previous, there’s the deportation of the Uyghurs. This can be a signal that the brand new civilian authorities in Bangkok, just like the junta that got here earlier than it, is keen to take acquainted sorts of actions towards not simply home critics, but additionally these in search of security from the federal government of the highly effective, autocratic neighbor to the north, whose favor Thailand’s ruling elite, in every of its latest configurations, has proven itself wanting to courtroom.