Javier Báez probably is aware of the reality: He hasn’t lived as much as the contract the Detroit Tigers gave him. That consciousness — paired together with his physique breaking down — could outline how this deal in the end ends.
When the Tigers signed Báez to a six-year, $140 million contract in 2021, they had been betting on his electrical play and swagger carrying a younger workforce towards rivalry. As a substitute, three years in, the deal feels extra like a weight than a spark.
Báez’s numbers inform the story. His batting common has slipped annually, bottoming out at .184 in 2024 earlier than a hip injury ended his season. His .516 OPS final 12 months was the worst of his profession. Accidents, inconsistent self-discipline on the plate and declining defensive metrics have raised critical questions on his long-term worth.
To Báez’s credit score, he hasn’t ducked the grind. He returned this spring after hip surgical procedure with a centered perspective, even agreeing to take reps at third base to assist the workforce adapt. That sort of shift — from franchise shortstop to potential utility nook infielder — feels much less like a tactic and extra like a concession: the participant, as soon as elite, is trying to find methods to contribute in a brand new profession section.
It is exhausting to disregard that Báez appears to know the optics. By all accounts, he is engaged, working exhausting and never pointing fingers. However there is not any hiding once you’re making practically $24 million a 12 months and taking part in like a below-replacement-level participant. He is on the fallacious facet of 30, and the Tigers have three years and $73 million left to pay. Báez may be prepared to do what’s requested — however effort does not equal manufacturing.
That is Detroit’s long-term dilemma. They’re caught paying for previous potential whereas hoping for future flashes. They usually’re doing it with a participant who probably is aware of he is not the man they thought they had been getting.
So what occurs subsequent?
The Tigers might journey it out and hope for a late-career bounce, although that is unlikely with out important adjustments to Báez’s strategy. They might attempt to dump the contract, however who’s biting on an enormous deal tied to a declining veteran? A launch, or monetary settlement, can be an admission of failure — nevertheless it may also be the one path ahead if his manufacturing does not get well.
Finally, Báez may end this contract extra as a mentor than a star. And if he does, it will be as a result of he understands the scenario. The efficiency hasn’t matched the paycheck, and now it is about salvaging some worth — for himself and the franchise.
Nobody has to say it out loud. You possibly can see it on his face. Javier Báez is aware of.