Phil Jackson’s legendary 40-20 rule has lengthy been a dependable indicator of championship legitimacy within the NBA.
The formulation is straightforward: groups that attain 40 wins earlier than struggling 20 losses have traditionally been severe contenders. Since 1984, almost 90 p.c of champions have met this benchmark, reinforcing its worth as a predictor of postseason success.
The 2024-25 Los Angeles Lakers are hovering round this threshold. After back-to-back wins over the Clippers, they’ve received six straight and 18 of their final 24, sitting at 38-21, proper within the neighborhood of Jackson’s benchmark.
Whereas they haven’t formally hit the 40-20 threshold, their latest acquisition of Luka Doncic, defensive resurgence and red-hot kind have solidified their standing as an elite contender. Doncic, by means of eight video games with the Lakers, is averaging 22 factors, 8.3 rebounds, 6.8 assists and 1.8 steals per sport.
After a gradual begin in Los Angeles, his 32-point, 10-rebound, seven-assist efficiency towards the Denver Nuggets on Feb. 22 marked a turning level. Since then, he has hit prime kind, creating a dynamic partnership with LeBron James that has coincided with the group’s win streak.
The Lakers’ defensive transformation has been notably placing. Since buying Doncic, they’ve posted the NBA’s second-best defensive ranking (106.5), trailing solely the Detroit Pistons.
Whereas Doncic isn’t recognized for his protection, the group’s enchancment has been pushed by better cohesion beneath first-time head coach JJ Redick, the addition of Dorian Finney-Smith — who leads the group with a +7.4 plus/minus, highlighting his affect on profitable — and the return of defensive anchor Jarred Vanderbilt.
Offensively, Austin Reaves has stepped up because the Lakers’ third star because the All-Star break, averaging 18.7 factors and 4.3 assists whereas taking pictures a formidable 38.5% from three-point vary. His emergence has additional bolstered a Lakers group discovering its rhythm on the proper time.
Veteran guard Gabe Vincent praised the group’s chemistry following Sunday’s win over the Clippers.
“We’re enjoying very exhausting. We’re enjoying unselfish,” Vincent stated, by way of Lakers beat reporter Mike Trudell of Spectrum SportsNet. “I feel guys are beginning to perceive the task.”
Elsewhere, the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder, Cleveland Cavaliers, Boston Celtics and New York Knicks have already reached 40-20, cementing their place within the title dialog. Whereas the Lakers stay simply exterior that group, their present trajectory suggests they’re peaking on the proper time.
Jackson’s rule doesn’t account for accidents, matchups or playoff changes, however as a measuring stick, it stays related. With two generational abilities in Doncic and James main the way in which, the Lakers are well-positioned for a deep postseason run.
